Higher-for-longer interest rates will reduce demand for Singapore houses

As of value date, Sep 29, the three-month average Singapore overnight rate (Sora), which is based on a compounded annual rate, has increased from 0.2 percent to 3.7 percent. The annual interest rate of a home mortgage priced at 1% plus the three-month Sora rose from 1.2 percent in early 2022, to 4.7 percent today.

The progressive payment plan is used by many buyers to purchase unfinished new homes. They do this because they don’t have to incur debt for two or three years, until the house is finished. Developers sold 3,233 unfinished homes in the first half of this year. This accounted for 34% of the total number of private homes in Singapore.

However, higher interest rates can be a major problem for real estate investors. Developers are faced with higher financing costs that can hurt their profitability. Those who have high gearing may also face cash flow problems.

Higher home loan rates also affect homebuyers who borrow money to purchase a dream house.

The progressive payment plan involves an initial payment followed by subsequent payments based on construction milestones. Payments are completed at the end of the project or upon completion.

Higher home loan rates make it less financially viable for buyers to use leverage in order to finance a home purchase.

Home loan rates can be lower in the next two to three year for buyers of unfinished homes. If a buyer assumes that the annual interest rate on a home loan will be higher in future, for example, 4,25 percent, rather than 3 percent, it can have a significant impact on what is considered affordable.

However, higher interest rates can be a major problem for real estate investors. Developers are faced with higher financing costs that can hurt their profitability. Those who have high gearing may also face cash flow problems.

Some investors may not sign on the dotted lines because they are concerned about the higher costs of home loans.

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Some people with a lot of cash may choose to invest in these instruments rather than buy a house. Singapore’s six-month Treasury bills offered a yield cut of 4,07 percent in the auction which closed last week.

Consider a buyer who purchases a home worth S$1.5m with S$500,000 equity and a S$1m loan over 25 years. The total mortgage payments over a 25-year period are S$1.42 and S$1.63 millions, respectively, at annual interest rates of 3% and 4.25 percent.

Higher interest rates can have a major impact on the calculations of a residential property investor who relies upon rental income to pay mortgage payments.

Even so, the interest rate is important to housing demand. This is driven primarily by local buyers. Higher home loan costs can reduce the purchasing power of people who are borrowing to purchase a home as a place to live. When interest rates increase, people who are buying for investment lose their investment appeal.

Landlords are facing a double blow: higher financing costs that reduce net income and falling property values due to higher discount rates used to value projected cash flows.

Higher debt costs can also affect those who have a lot of cash.

Many Singaporeans may be happy about the rising interest rates. The higher interest rates on Singapore dollar fixed deposit or Treasury bills may be helpful to a retiree living on passive income.

The private residential market in Singapore will be affected by expectations that interest rates will remain high for a longer period of time.

Singapore is a great place to live. There are many reasons to buy a home in Singapore.

Consider a buyer who purchases a home worth S$1.5m with S$500,000 equity and a S$1m loan over 25 years. The total mortgage payments over 25 years are S$1.42 and S$1.63 millions, respectively, at annual interest rates of 3% and 4.25 percent.


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